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How The FiveThirtyEight Forecast Did In 2022

By Albert Thomas February 7, 2023 0 mins read 424 Views

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In this installment of "Model Talk" on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time?

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